Evaluation of mortality attributed to air pollution in the three most populated cities in Serbia
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© 2019, Islamic Azad University (IAU)
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The subject of this study was a mid-term evaluation of cardiovascular, respiratory and total non-accidental mortalities attributed to exposure to PM 10 , O 3 , NO 2 and SO 2 in the cities of Belgrade, Novi Sad and Nis, representing about 25% of the population of Serbia. The analysis was performed using AirQ+ modelling, by linking annual baseline mortality rates and daily pollutant exposure levels in 2011–2015 based on the cause-specific concentration–response functions. Estimated shares of annual mortality attributed to these pollutants, thanks to harmonizing of assessment methodologies, may stand next to and be compared with results obtained in previously conducted studies. The obtained premature deaths estimated within 95% confidence interval (in parentheses) and attributed to PM 10 , O 3 , NO 2 and SO 2 exposure were 2013 (1344–2677), 1411 (685–2086), 831 (555–1107) and 443 (333–530), respectively. Total non-accidental mortalities due to O 3 and NO 2 exposure were in the range of fi...ndings for other regions, while mortalities attributed to PM 10 were higher. It was also found that cardiovascular mortality caused by these four pollutants was higher than respiratory mortality. Based on our results, efficient implementation of abatement strategies that would reduce PM 10 , O 3 and SO 2 concentrations to daily air quality limit values set by the World Health Organization could respectively prevent, in the three cities together, about 233 (156–310), 40 (19–59) and 71 (53–85) premature deaths per year. © 2019, Islamic Azad University (IAU).
Ključne reči:
Air Q plus / Air pollution / Exposure / Mortality / Health impact assessmentIzvor:
International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 2019, 16, 11, 7059-7070Finansiranje / projekti:
- Istraživanje klimatskih promena i njihovog uticaja na životnu sredinu - praćenje uticaja, adaptacija i ublažavanje (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-43007)
- Nove tehnologije za monitoring i zaštitu životnog okruženja od štetnih hemijskih supstanci i radijacionog opterećenja (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-43009)
- Primena unapređenih oksidacionih procesa i nanostrukturisanih oksidnih materijala za uklanjanje zagađivača iz životne sredine, razvoj i optimizacija instrumentalnih tehnika za praćenje efikasnosti (RS-MESTD-Basic Research (BR or ON)-172030)
DOI: 10.1007/s13762-019-02384-6
ISSN: 1735-1472
WoS: 000489337200051
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85064912221
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Institucija/grupa
VinčaTY - JOUR AU - Todorović, Marija N. AU - Radenković, Mirjana AU - Rajšić, Slavica F. AU - Ignjatović, Ljubiša M. PY - 2019 UR - https://vinar.vin.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/8565 AB - The subject of this study was a mid-term evaluation of cardiovascular, respiratory and total non-accidental mortalities attributed to exposure to PM 10 , O 3 , NO 2 and SO 2 in the cities of Belgrade, Novi Sad and Nis, representing about 25% of the population of Serbia. The analysis was performed using AirQ+ modelling, by linking annual baseline mortality rates and daily pollutant exposure levels in 2011–2015 based on the cause-specific concentration–response functions. Estimated shares of annual mortality attributed to these pollutants, thanks to harmonizing of assessment methodologies, may stand next to and be compared with results obtained in previously conducted studies. The obtained premature deaths estimated within 95% confidence interval (in parentheses) and attributed to PM 10 , O 3 , NO 2 and SO 2 exposure were 2013 (1344–2677), 1411 (685–2086), 831 (555–1107) and 443 (333–530), respectively. Total non-accidental mortalities due to O 3 and NO 2 exposure were in the range of findings for other regions, while mortalities attributed to PM 10 were higher. It was also found that cardiovascular mortality caused by these four pollutants was higher than respiratory mortality. Based on our results, efficient implementation of abatement strategies that would reduce PM 10 , O 3 and SO 2 concentrations to daily air quality limit values set by the World Health Organization could respectively prevent, in the three cities together, about 233 (156–310), 40 (19–59) and 71 (53–85) premature deaths per year. © 2019, Islamic Azad University (IAU). T2 - International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology T1 - Evaluation of mortality attributed to air pollution in the three most populated cities in Serbia VL - 16 IS - 11 SP - 7059 EP - 7070 DO - 10.1007/s13762-019-02384-6 ER -
@article{ author = "Todorović, Marija N. and Radenković, Mirjana and Rajšić, Slavica F. and Ignjatović, Ljubiša M.", year = "2019", abstract = "The subject of this study was a mid-term evaluation of cardiovascular, respiratory and total non-accidental mortalities attributed to exposure to PM 10 , O 3 , NO 2 and SO 2 in the cities of Belgrade, Novi Sad and Nis, representing about 25% of the population of Serbia. The analysis was performed using AirQ+ modelling, by linking annual baseline mortality rates and daily pollutant exposure levels in 2011–2015 based on the cause-specific concentration–response functions. Estimated shares of annual mortality attributed to these pollutants, thanks to harmonizing of assessment methodologies, may stand next to and be compared with results obtained in previously conducted studies. The obtained premature deaths estimated within 95% confidence interval (in parentheses) and attributed to PM 10 , O 3 , NO 2 and SO 2 exposure were 2013 (1344–2677), 1411 (685–2086), 831 (555–1107) and 443 (333–530), respectively. Total non-accidental mortalities due to O 3 and NO 2 exposure were in the range of findings for other regions, while mortalities attributed to PM 10 were higher. It was also found that cardiovascular mortality caused by these four pollutants was higher than respiratory mortality. Based on our results, efficient implementation of abatement strategies that would reduce PM 10 , O 3 and SO 2 concentrations to daily air quality limit values set by the World Health Organization could respectively prevent, in the three cities together, about 233 (156–310), 40 (19–59) and 71 (53–85) premature deaths per year. © 2019, Islamic Azad University (IAU).", journal = "International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology", title = "Evaluation of mortality attributed to air pollution in the three most populated cities in Serbia", volume = "16", number = "11", pages = "7059-7070", doi = "10.1007/s13762-019-02384-6" }
Todorović, M. N., Radenković, M., Rajšić, S. F.,& Ignjatović, L. M.. (2019). Evaluation of mortality attributed to air pollution in the three most populated cities in Serbia. in International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 16(11), 7059-7070. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-019-02384-6
Todorović MN, Radenković M, Rajšić SF, Ignjatović LM. Evaluation of mortality attributed to air pollution in the three most populated cities in Serbia. in International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology. 2019;16(11):7059-7070. doi:10.1007/s13762-019-02384-6 .
Todorović, Marija N., Radenković, Mirjana, Rajšić, Slavica F., Ignjatović, Ljubiša M., "Evaluation of mortality attributed to air pollution in the three most populated cities in Serbia" in International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 16, no. 11 (2019):7059-7070, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-019-02384-6 . .