An analytical method for the measurement of energy system sustainability in urban areas
Апстракт
Assessing the sustainability of urban energy systems and forecasting their development are important topics that have been the focus of recent research. In this paper, an approach for the measurement the sustainability of an urban energy system is introduced. The approach is based on prediction of the future energy needs within the consuming sectors of a city by specification of energy system development scenarios and validation of the scenarios by a multi-criteria decision method. Prediction of energy needs for the area of the city using the simulation model, model for analysis of the energy demands (MAED) is done. Finish the last level of aggregation, using the method of multi-criteria analysis, is getting the General Index of Sustainability (GIS), which shows a measure of the validity or viability, or quality of the investigated scenarios. In this way, the mathematical and graphical made a synthesis of all the indicators that are relevant to sustainable development. The accuracy in ...determining the mean of the GIS is checked by calculating the standard deviation. Also, a measure of reliability of the preference when watching a few consecutive scenarios was performed. The defined scenarios take into account the utilization of different energy sources, the exploitation of existing energy plants and infrastructure, and the building of new plants. The sustainability criteria are described by a unique set of economic, social and ecological indicators. The new approach was used to forecast the development of sustainable energy system in Belgrade, Serbia. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Кључне речи:
Sustainable development / Energy indicators / Multi-criteria decision methodИзвор:
Energy, 2010, 35, 9, 3909-3920
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2010.06.010
ISSN: 0360-5442
WoS: 000281178000047
Scopus: 2-s2.0-77955280535
Колекције
Институција/група
VinčaTY - JOUR AU - Jovanović, Marina P. AU - Afgan, Naim H. AU - Bakić, Vukman PY - 2010 UR - https://vinar.vin.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/4087 AB - Assessing the sustainability of urban energy systems and forecasting their development are important topics that have been the focus of recent research. In this paper, an approach for the measurement the sustainability of an urban energy system is introduced. The approach is based on prediction of the future energy needs within the consuming sectors of a city by specification of energy system development scenarios and validation of the scenarios by a multi-criteria decision method. Prediction of energy needs for the area of the city using the simulation model, model for analysis of the energy demands (MAED) is done. Finish the last level of aggregation, using the method of multi-criteria analysis, is getting the General Index of Sustainability (GIS), which shows a measure of the validity or viability, or quality of the investigated scenarios. In this way, the mathematical and graphical made a synthesis of all the indicators that are relevant to sustainable development. The accuracy in determining the mean of the GIS is checked by calculating the standard deviation. Also, a measure of reliability of the preference when watching a few consecutive scenarios was performed. The defined scenarios take into account the utilization of different energy sources, the exploitation of existing energy plants and infrastructure, and the building of new plants. The sustainability criteria are described by a unique set of economic, social and ecological indicators. The new approach was used to forecast the development of sustainable energy system in Belgrade, Serbia. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. T2 - Energy T1 - An analytical method for the measurement of energy system sustainability in urban areas VL - 35 IS - 9 SP - 3909 EP - 3920 DO - 10.1016/j.energy.2010.06.010 ER -
@article{ author = "Jovanović, Marina P. and Afgan, Naim H. and Bakić, Vukman", year = "2010", abstract = "Assessing the sustainability of urban energy systems and forecasting their development are important topics that have been the focus of recent research. In this paper, an approach for the measurement the sustainability of an urban energy system is introduced. The approach is based on prediction of the future energy needs within the consuming sectors of a city by specification of energy system development scenarios and validation of the scenarios by a multi-criteria decision method. Prediction of energy needs for the area of the city using the simulation model, model for analysis of the energy demands (MAED) is done. Finish the last level of aggregation, using the method of multi-criteria analysis, is getting the General Index of Sustainability (GIS), which shows a measure of the validity or viability, or quality of the investigated scenarios. In this way, the mathematical and graphical made a synthesis of all the indicators that are relevant to sustainable development. The accuracy in determining the mean of the GIS is checked by calculating the standard deviation. Also, a measure of reliability of the preference when watching a few consecutive scenarios was performed. The defined scenarios take into account the utilization of different energy sources, the exploitation of existing energy plants and infrastructure, and the building of new plants. The sustainability criteria are described by a unique set of economic, social and ecological indicators. The new approach was used to forecast the development of sustainable energy system in Belgrade, Serbia. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.", journal = "Energy", title = "An analytical method for the measurement of energy system sustainability in urban areas", volume = "35", number = "9", pages = "3909-3920", doi = "10.1016/j.energy.2010.06.010" }
Jovanović, M. P., Afgan, N. H.,& Bakić, V.. (2010). An analytical method for the measurement of energy system sustainability in urban areas. in Energy, 35(9), 3909-3920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2010.06.010
Jovanović MP, Afgan NH, Bakić V. An analytical method for the measurement of energy system sustainability in urban areas. in Energy. 2010;35(9):3909-3920. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2010.06.010 .
Jovanović, Marina P., Afgan, Naim H., Bakić, Vukman, "An analytical method for the measurement of energy system sustainability in urban areas" in Energy, 35, no. 9 (2010):3909-3920, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2010.06.010 . .